Stay on Guard! Soon-to-Be Danielle Could be Tricky

Is the path of Danielle an open and shut case? NO.

Dora was full of tricks too, like Jacksonville found out in 1964.


Felix, in 1995, was full of tricks too.



I will have more on the tropics tomorrow.

Danielle Over Nigeria?

A significant storm system exists, not over the Atlantic, but over Africa. It is specifically over the country of Nigeria.


Hurricane forecast models show a significant hurricane over the central Atlantic, in about 120 hours- that is 5 days. Besides the future "Danielle," we will be watching the northern parts of the Gulf of Mexico, for it will stay unsettled. All of the unsettled weather in the Gulf means plenty of rainy days ahead for Florida and Georgia.

Over the next 5 days portions of Florida's panhandle could get more than 6 inches of rain, with areas around Jacksonville getting around 3 inches of rain on average.

Where To Look Next?

There are plenty of possible options in the Atlantic Basin, but none are in prime regions for development. Shear, dry air, proximity to land, and Saharan dust are the main limiting factors of the tropical waves. It looks like by the end of the week, though, we will be watching the eastern Atlantic. The good news is that the next storm will likely form some 3,000 miles away! Meaning it would take weeks to even come close to the U.S., if ever.