SEVERE WEATHER ALERT:

Sunday, March 26, 2006

Cold Pattern

It seems as though winter is making its last grasp; tonight's low will be no exception. The official low, taken at the airport, will be 35 tonight, that is some 16 degrees off of the normal low of 51. Counties to the west and north of Jacksonville will even see colder conditions; a freeze warning is in affect for these counties.

Freeze Warning
Red Flag Warning

Hot Link==>
Current Conditions LIVE

Saturday, March 25, 2006

Windy Today, Windy Tomorrow

There are numerous events that are happening this weekend, some of which are dependent on the wind, or lack there of. Both the Robbie Knievel world-record jump and the Tour Players Championship are just two of the many events. Knievel was scheduled to attempt his stunt on Saturday, but do to too strong of winds he will attempt the stunt again on Sunday at 4 p.m. Winds today were out of the Northwest and averaged around 11 mph. Tomorrow's winds will be out of a more westerly direction but they will still be on the strong side, averaging about the same. Please refer to our wind forecast for a greater detailed picture.

Wind Forecast
(PM)
12: NW 18 GUSTS 29
1: NW 14 GUSTS 14
2: WNW 17 GUSTS 14
3: WNW 22 GUSTS 14
4: WNW 16 GUSTS 14
5: WNW 18 GUSTS 14
6: W 15 GUSTS 14

Friday, March 24, 2006

Drought Monitor


The Keetch-Byram drought index (KBDI) is a continuous reference scale for estimating the dryness of the soil and duff layers. The index increases for each day without rain (the amount of increase depends on the daily high temperature) and decreases when it rains. The scale ranges from 0 (no moisture deficit) to 800. The range of the index is determined by assuming that there is 8 inches of moisture in a saturated soil that is readily available to the vegetation.

High values of the KBDI are an indication that conditions are favorable for the occurrence and spread of wildfires, but drought is not by itself a prerequisite for wildfires. Other weather factors, such as wind, temperature, relative humidity and atmospheric stability, play a major role in determining the actual fire danger.

Cool Start To TPC

Tomorrow's Wake-Up forecast: 44
Tomorrow's Mid-Day forecast: 61
Tomorrow's Early Evening forecast: 67

HOT LINK===>
LIVE CAM: 17th Green

FIRE DANGER


A SLIGHT WEAKENING IN THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS/PRESSURE GRADIENT IS ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR BETWEEN DAY ONE AND DAY TWO OVER THE SERN STATES AS THE UPPER SYSTEM SLOWLY LOSES STRENGTH. THE NET RESULT WILL BE SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS RANGING FROM 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. DESPITE ANOTHER DAY OF EXPECTED MIN RH READINGS BELOW 35 PERCENT...THESE WEAKER WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK ISSUANCE.

Thursday, March 23, 2006

Light Rain Moving In Now

Light rain is now moving into the first coast. The light rain will eventually turn into a little bit more moderate rain as we head on latter in the day. All rain should be out of the region by 7PM. The estimated rainfall amount in Jacksonville is about an half a inch.

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

Afternoon Travel Concerns

Keep your mouse pointed right here tomorrow as evening travel could get a little messy.

=>Florida Highway Patrol Reports
=>Jacksonville International Airport Delays

Much Needed Rain

The much needed rain is on its way, but unfortunately, tomorrow's rain won't solve our deficit. We are behind for both the month and the year.

March: 0.47
Departure: (-2.34)

Year: 6.68
Departure: (-2.97)

Tomorrow's rain may knock about a half of an inch off of those departures but not anything more.

Forecasted Rainfall: 0.53
Timeline:
7PM: Partly Cloudy
12PM: Mostly Cloudy
5PM: Rain
9PM: Light Rain/ Mostly Cloudy

Dry Today But Rain Tomorrow

It is great day outside with both the dewpoint and humidity levels low.

High Today: 70

Tomorrow will be the complete opposite of today. Instead of more sun than clouds, we will have more clouds than sun. And it looks like as we head through the afternoon hours rain will be falling from those clouds. Precipitation will be light to moderate at times, but overall not expecting rainfall totals to be high, maybe only around a half of an inch.

Forecasted Rainfall: 0.53

Tuesday, March 21, 2006

Tuesday's Precip. Totals

Jacksonville International Airport: 0.36
Jacksonville, Craig Municipal Airport:0.00
Mayport Naval Station: 0.02
Jacksonville, Naval Air Station: 0.03


Add your rain totals...Click the comments link on this post!

Weather 101

Although there will be a few showers on Thurs. & Fri., there will not be severe weather for awhile ; this is a good time to catch up on your weather knowledge.

Fujita Tornado Scale
F0
40-72 mph
MINIMAL DAMAGE: Some damage to chimneys, TV antennas, roof shingles, trees, and windows.

F1
73-112 mph
MODERATE DAMAGE: Automobiles overturned, carports destroyed, trees uprooted.

F2
113-157 mph
MAJOR DAMAGE: Roofs blown off homes, sheds and outbuildings demolished, mobile homes overturned.

F3
158-206 mph
SEVERE DAMAGE: Exterior walls and roofs blown off homes. Metal buildings collapsed or are severely damaged. Forests and farmland flattened.

F4
207-260 mph
DEVASTATING DAMAGE: Few walls, if any, standing in well-built homes. Large steel and concrete missiles thrown far distances.

F5
261-318 mph
INCREDIBLE DAMAGE: Homes leveled with all debris removed. Schools, motels, and other larger structures have considerable damage with exterior walls and roofs gone. Top stories demolished.

Severe Weather Threat Over

The cold front is pushing through the area right now which will help reduce wind speeds.

Current winds:
Jacksonville International Airport
W 22
Gusts 29
Jacksonville, Craig Municipal Airport
SW 15
Gusts 25
Mayport Naval Station
SW 20
Gusts 28
Jacksonville, Naval Air Station
SW 28
Gusts 35
Jacksonville, Cecil Field Airport
W 22
Gusts 28
St. Augustine Airport
SW 17
Gusts 25


Tonight's forecasted low: 50

Hawthorne...Interlachen...Palatka...


Putnam County is under the gun right now.

Clouds Becoming More Threatening But....

No severe weather near Jacksonville right now.

Current Conditions:

Overcast
Temp: 71°F
Humidity: 87 %
Wind Speed: SW 8 MPH
Barometer: 29.81" (1009.3 mb)
Dewpoint: 67°F
Visibility: 10.00 mi.

Just In Case...

Just to refresh your memory. Currently we do not have any severe weather warnings or watches in effect.

TORNADO WARNING -- When a Tornado Warning is issued, tornadoes are occurring and have been spotted or detected by radar. There is imminent danger for people in the area warned. Issued by a local NWS office, the size of the warning area is generally the size of one or two counties and usually lasts less than an hour. Stay away from windows, doors and outside walls. Put as many walls between you and the tornado as possible on the lowest floor of your building. If you do not have a basement, seek shelter in an interior bathroom or closet. Get under something sturdy. Protect your head. Stay away from mobile homes. Get out of your vehicle. If there is no safe shelter, lie flat in the nearest ditch or ravine with your hands shielding your head.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING -- When a Severe Thunderstom Warning is issued, tornadoes and/or severe thunderstorms are occurring and have been spotted or detected by radar. The National Weather Service (NWS) defines a severe thunderstorm as having winds 50 kts (58 mph) or hail greater than ¾" in diameter (about dime-sized). (A storm that spawns a tornado is obviously also considered severe.) There is imminent danger for people in the area warned. Issued by a local NWS office, the size of the warning area is generally the size of one or two counties and usually lasts less than an hour. Stay away from windows, doors and outside walls. Put as many walls between you and the tornado as possible on the lowest floor of your building. If you do not have a basement, seek shelter in an interior bathroom or closet. Get under something sturdy. Protect your head. Stay away from mobile homes. Get out of your vehicle. If there is no safe shelter, lie flat in the nearest ditch or ravine with your hands shielding your head.

Watching


We are really watching three storms at this point. The strongest of the three is in Clinch County right now and is about to go into Ware and Carlton Counties, and then finally make its way into Nassau County.
The other two storms are near Gainesville, in Alachua County. These two storms will enter southern Clay and Putnam Counties in about 45 mintues.

SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE TODAY



Haven't had that much in the way of severe weather yet. Most impressive cell has just moved offshore.

Monday, March 20, 2006


SEVERE WEATHER

Possible severe weather Tuesday afternoon.