Saturday, February 26, 2011

Possible Severe Weather Event- Tuesday 3/1

March is likely to come in like a lion on the First Coast. A strong front will approach the area from the west during the early morning hours of Tuesday. The chief question that exists is how much moisture will exist with the actual cold front. The past couple of cold fronts that have entered the region have been both dry and weak. 

Synoptic Scenario for Tuesday

Heavy Rainfall Expected between 7 am-12 pm Tuesday.

Rainfall amounts will vary greatly across the region. As much as .60 inches of rain is possible in southern Georgia. North Florida amounts will range from only .10 to .25 inches of rainfall.  
Upper level wind values will be around 50 knots out of the WSW.
The best chance of rain and severe weather is in Georgia. The main threats appear to be strong, gusty winds and possible isolated tornadoes. Both dew points and upper level winds will be weak to moderate in nature. So, not expecting any widespread severe weather events. The storm prediction center has South Georgia under about a 5% chance of severe weather.

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