Development has been and will continue to be slow. Conditions are not completely ideal for quick development. Water temperatures could be warmer and shear could be less. Shear could actually increase in the short-term, for the storm, to about 30 knots. This fact, in combination with the system's quick movement, do not bode well for the storm. Once the storm gets on the other side of the negative factors, development to at least a strong tropical storm is possible. After this point, the storm will affect the northern Caribbean Islands.
|Emily's Possible Scenario|