|Wavering Between El Nino and La Nina|
These poorer conditions for development are likely to continue for sometime. Velocity potential forecasts depict deteriorating conditions for the rest of the month and into a good deal of August. In fact, at the current rate, the 2011 hurricane season is looking more and more like a dud. It will be at least the mid to late August under we see marginal development conditions take over the basin.
|Velocity Potential Forecasts|
There is a caveat to this hypothesis, though. A strong tropical wave is likely to form in the central Atlantic. It may or may not gain the name of Bret. Whether it does or does not gain a name, will not be of any consequence. The system will face the wrath of dry air and hostile winds. These hostile conditions will keep the possible system far away from the U.S. and possibly even the Caribbean Islands.