This does not mean that the tropical season is over by any stretch of the imagination. In fact, the next threat area's season maybe on the verge of ramping up. Places in the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf of Mexico should see their fare share of activity. There are already indications in place that this is the case.
Indication #1) This is a La Nina year. La Nina years are notorious for late season Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean threats. You only have to go as far back as last year too see to see any resemblance. The majority of tropical systems that formed during the second half of last season were in the NW Caribbean Sea.
|Hurricane Season 2010- Shows clustering of storms in NW Caribbean|
|Hurricane Mitch 1998- October Hurricane|
|Hurricane Opal- Late September/Early October Hurricane|
|GFS Model for October 3rd|