The tropics will produce the last couple of hoorays for the 2011 season during the next few weeks. Florida could be directly impacted by what both systems have to offer. The formation of the first system is already underway.
Complex Happenings Over The Next Couple Of Weeks
The first system is a combination between a Nor'easter and what could a weak subtropical system that forms. It is important to note that the more that a system does form, off the coast of Florida, the drier the State will be. Even though the possibility exists that "Rina" could be off the coast in Florida in only a matter of days, I do not think that she will be able to form. Upper level wind speeds are simply too fast. Normally, around 15 knots would be low enough to allow for development. Current shear vales are around 50 knots.
Current Shear Values
More on the second part of the tropical trouble as it develops...