As we enter the third week of the tropical season, an area of disturbed weather will brew in the Bay of Campeche in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. However, because of hostile conditions, no significant development is anticipated.
At least 3 features in the vicinity of the eastern Pacific and Gulf of Mexico will add to the shear limiting any development of the disturbance known as #92L. It is rather unusual to see the amount of shear we are over parts of the Gulf during this time of year. In addition to the shear, a period of downward velocities will move the Atlantic basin. What’s left of the moisture could make it into the Gulf Coast next week.
Elsewhere across the
Atlantic basin, conditions remain unfavorable for development. Saharan dry air
dominates most of the eastern and the central parts of the Atlantic and wind
shear remains significant across western parts of the basin. It isn’t unusual
to have nothing to track in the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic
Ocean this time of year. The first name storm typically doesn’t form until July
9th.
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