Tropical Outlook Week #13: Temporary Lull Before Heart Of The Season

 


After Henri’s landfall in New England, we’ll see a temporary lull in the Atlantic basin, until conditions turn ripe again. There will be two areas to monitor as we end the week, but it looks like we’ll be able to escape the without any significant development.

The two areas we’ll be keeping our eyes on will be the Caribbean and an area in the Central Atlantic, not too far from Bermuda. Neither area has a significant tropical disturbance there now, but an area of upward velocities will begin making its way across the basin, from west to east.


With a significant ridge over the Eastern United States, whatever does develop in the Caribbean looks like it could be a threat to the western parts of the Gulf of Mexico. Any development in the central Atlantic would likely be a system that remains out at sea.

The tropical storm that forms will be named Ida. So far, we’ve seen 8 named storms, with 3 hurricanes. The peak of the season is usually around September 10. The pace of tropical cyclones will likely make the season hyperactive.


Comments