There is plenty to track across the Atlantic but none of the systems are immediate threats to Florida. Hurricane Ida is making its way through Louisiana, after becoming a major hurricane in the Gulf. In addition to Ida, there are two systems that have formed in the central/northern Atlantic.
Both of these systems have struggled to become tropical depressions and even though they will gain the names of Julian and Kate, they’ll remain weak and just impact shipping lanes in the Atlantic.
Two other areas to monitor will be the Caribbean Sea and the eastern Atlantic for a tropical development. Anything that does form in the Caribbean Sea will likely head towards Central America and parts of Mexico and stay well away from the United States.
The main system to watch post-Ida will be a tropical wave that will soon emerge from the African coast. Several models immediately develop the wave once it enters the Atlantic Ocean. The models also drive the disturbance harmlessly into the northeast Atlantic. It is important to note that models tend to underperform on ridge strength. If this is the case, we would expect to see the disturbance take a more westerly route.
The good news is that we will have plenty of time to monitor the wave in the eastern Atlantic. It is not unusual to see the Atlantic busy this time of year, we are less than 2 weeks away from the climatological peak of the season.
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